Wednesday 29 October 2014

USA Bestselling Author Jeff Adams Said USA home prices rise less than expected

USA Bestselling Author Jeff Adams Said USA home prices rise less than expected. U.S. single-family home price rise in August on a year-over-year basis but fell short of expectations, a closely watched survey said on Tuesday.

The S&P/Case Shiller composite index of 20 city areas gained 5.6 % in August over last year, the slowest year-on-year last increase since November 2012, a little below a Reuters poll of economists that calculate a gain of 5.8 %. The latest data is open to analysis. 

I have learned over the years forecasting home prices that the latest month is very important, but the trend is also vital so what we have seen nationwide is big increase a few months ago and now a softening. So what that means, the latest month suggests price decline might be coming, but if you mix that in, it's kind of a vague situation. 

On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, prices in twenty cities curved in 0.1 % for the month. A Reuter’s poll of economists had estimate an increase of 0.1 %. Non-seasonally adjusted prices rose 0.2 % in the 20 cities on a monthly basis, disappointing expectations for a 0.5 % rise. 

The deceleration in home prices continues, despite the weaker year-over-year numbers, home prices are now showing an overall increase, as the National Index increased for its 8th consecutive month.

A broader measure of national housing market action now releasing on a monthly basis rose at a slower pace year over year, coming in at 5.1 %.

The seasonally adjusted ten-city gauge fell 0.2 % in August versus a 0.5 % decline in July, while the non-adjusted ten-city index rose 0.2 % in August compare to a 0.6 % rise in July. The housing recovery has been on a tear over the past few years, as the U.S. government sought to rouse the economy through quantitative easing and other programs, he noted.

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